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☆ Macro Risk's John Kolovos: S&P 500 undergoing a correction
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacro Risk's John Kolovos: S&P 500 undergoing a correctionJohn Kolovos, Macro Risk Advisors chief technical market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell'to discuss his market outlook and what he's seeing in the technicals.

Persons: John Kolovos

☆ The market is setting itself up to be in a trading range environment, says Macro Risk's John Kolovos
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is setting itself up to be in a trading range environment, says Macro Risk's John KolovosJohn Kolovos, Macro Risk Advisors chief technical market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss why he believes there will be further market correction and his top sector picks.

Persons: John Kolovos John Kolovos

☆ Stock market hits new high after 2 years, overcoming a nasty inflation period and surging rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The long wait between S & P 500 all-time highs is a friendly factor for forward performance, as far as historical observations go. John Kolovos of Macro Risk Advisors says, "It is OK to be bullish on the stock market (S & P 500) just not the market of stocks (everything else)," from a trend-following perspective. Barry Knapp of Ironsides Macroeconomics calculates that the equal-weight S & P is one standard deviation cheap versus the market-cap-weighted index. Remarkably, the S & P 500 first pushed above 19-times forward earnings exactly four years ago, right before the Covid crash. Well, the S & P 500 has delivered an annualized total return near 11% in the four years since.

Persons: Ned Davis, Wayne Whaley, Whaley, I've, haven't, John Kolovos, Barry Knapp, Knapp, USTs, it's, hasn't Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Foresight, Federal, noncommittal, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Deutsche Bank

☆ It's okay to be bullish the S&P, but not the market of stocks, says Macro Risk's John Kolovos
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's okay to be bullish the S&P, but not the market of stocks, says Macro Risk's John KolovosJohn Kolovos, Macro Risk Advisors, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his call for stock trouble ahead in the long-term.

Persons: John Kolovos John Kolovos

☆ The Dow is nearing the dreaded 'death cross.' What investors should know
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

If the two cross over, it would form the dreaded "death cross," which can indicate that momentum is weakening or sentiment is souring — and more downside could be on the horizon. It would be the first death cross for the average since late 2022. 'Something bad could happen' The threat of a death cross also underscores challenges specific to the Dow this year. Oppenheimer managing director Ari Wald advised investors to stay away from indexes near or at the death cross like the Dow or the Russell 2000 . Ultimately, technical analysts argue the death cross is both an important yet flawed measure.

Persons: Todd Walsh, Jeff deGraaf, That's, deGraaf, John Kolovos, Dow, Kolovos, Alpha Cubed's Walsh, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Russell Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Alpha Cubed Investments, Macro, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve

☆ What’s next for the S&P 500 after the key break of 4,200, according to chart analysts
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 closed at its lowest level in five months on Wednesday, a move that could signal further weakness lies ahead. Instead, he would see it as a renewal of the bear market. The S & P 500 also closed back below its 200-day moving average on Wednesday. His question now is if the market once again goes into a true bear market. A true move below could also push him to pull back his year-end forecast for the S & P 500, which is currently at 4,600 points.

Persons: John Kolovos, he's, Kolovos, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Seasonality, Wald, Will Organizations: Advisors Locations: U.S, Israel

☆ 'A defining moment:' Here's the S&P 500 level everyone on Wall Street is watching
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors are closely watching as the S & P 500 nears a make-or-break level. The S & P 500 lost 3.7% during the July-September period, snapping a three-quarter winning streak. Those declines put it within striking distance of the key 4,200 level, which has investors on edge for a few technical reasons. "The S & P is at a confluence of support," said John Kolovos, chief technical strategist at Macro Risk Advisors. But he said it did not change his outlook that the index will still test the 4,200 level and could move below it.

Persons: John Kolovos, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Kolovos, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, West Texas

☆ Stocks churn with the S&P 500 sitting at the same level it was two years ago
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The S & P 500 has held on to most of its first-half gains and has made a series of higher lows since mid-August. And while 2% is the central-banker ideal, equity markets historically are comfortable with inflation under 4% or so. The equal-weight S & P 500 is about where it was last Thanksgiving and small-cap indexes have been sideways and stuck for a year-and-a-half. Kolovos has been anticipating a "long and winding road to 4800" for the S & P 500, provided it doesn't crack support near 4300 before then. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD Such a scenario would then certainly give rise to a vexing "Now what?"

Persons: –, Ron Adler, Morgan, Wall, It's, we've, Ned Davis, Worth, John Kolovos, Kolovos Organizations: Wall, PPI, ECB, Citi, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Ned Davis Research, Dow Jones Industrial, Nvidia Locations: China, Rosh, Yom Kippur

☆ Meta Platforms broke below this closely watched level. What chart analysts expect now
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

More trouble could be ahead for shares of Meta Platforms based on one closely watched technical indicator. The Facebook and Instagram parent broke below its 50-day moving average this month for the first time since December. Meta shares have outperformed this year as CEO Mark Zuckerberg said it would focus on efficiency and artificial intelligence, sending the stock up more than 145%. Shares continue to hover below the 50-day moving average, which is now $297.98. Along with falling below its 50-day moving average, Frank Cappelleri notes that Meta has also completed what's known as a double top formation.

Persons: Meta —, Mark Zuckerberg, John Kolovos, Carter Worth, Frank Cappelleri, Meta, Cappelleri, CappThesis Organizations: Meta, Worth Locations: Worth

☆ This fast food giant is testing a key long-term level that could signal more volatility ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Shares of the fast food giant dipped below their 200-day moving average this week. A moving average consists of a security's average closing price over a specified time. The fast food chain finished Tuesday's session at $280.31, just above its 200-day average of $279.86, but dipped below that mark during the session. Still, he warned that McDonald's shares could be in for swings ahead. MCD YTD mountain McDonald's shares this year The company beat expectations on both lines when reporting earnings last month.

Persons: JC O'Hara, Roth, O'Hara, McDonald's, John Kolovos, Kolovos, Refinitiv, Bernstein, Aneesha Sherman, Sherman, Michael Bloom, Gabriel Cortez Organizations: McDonald's hasn't, Wall Street Locations: McDonald's

☆ The bold bullish case to be made for U.S. stocks — one that not many are voicing just yet
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-14 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

There's a bullish case on stocks that's not gained much traction yet. With another 4%-5% upside in the S & P 500 , the thesis would demand serious attention. A Fed pause? But this time, the S & P 500 had fallen 20% by the time the 10-to-2-year Treasury curve inverted, whereas in past cycles stocks were near a high. The S & P 500 probably needs to reach 4300 — up another 7.5% — to make a solid case for the bear market being over, says John Kolovos of Macro Risk Advisors.

☆ The difference between this comeback and the market's last failed bear market bounce
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-03 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A 17% S & P 500 surge off a new bear-market low in a market drenched in stagflation panic? On a purely technical, tape-reading basis, the S & P 500 this trip has in fact now closed above its 200-day average, whereas it merely touched that threshold in August. The equal-weighted version of the S & P 500 is down only 8.5% this year and a mere 2% off its August peak, compared to 14.5% and 5% for the standard market-cap-weighted S & P, more evidence that the "typical stock" is holding up better than the biggest ones. This time, stocks began falling two months before the first Fed rate hike. Wall Street strategists, meantime, are collectively projecting a modest drop in the S & P 500 for 2023, the first time since at least 1999 when the consensus failed to target annual gains.

☆ Reports of possible Meta layoffs could point to 'self-help' moment for megacap stocks
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-07 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This is the daily notebook of Mike Santoli, CNBC's senior markets commentator, with ideas about trends, stocks and market statistics. Apple is holding the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite in check, giving back more of its sizable outperformance and "stability premium," though oversold Big tech is seeing some relief. Heavy layoffs at Meta hinting that a "self-help" moment has arrived to hep preserve mega-cap tech platform margins even as last week's messy purge of busted-growth cloud stocks persists. The S & P 500 since 1950 has never been down the six or 12 months after a midterm vote, and the returns on average for the post-midterm year are twice all other years. All of this is pretty contingent, the S & P 500 still churning under resistance, earnings forecasts inching lower, much reliance by bulls on positioning and seasonal factors.

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